US Metro Home Values: Chicago Up 5.1%, Austin Down 3.9%

Zillow's September data shows a national picture of home values up only 1% over the year. Underneath that is a wide split by region.
Where values are rising (year over year)
-
Chicago: +5.1%
-
Hartford: +5.0%
-
Milwaukee: +4.9%
-
New York: +4.8%
-
Cleveland: +3.8%
-
San Francisco: +3.7%
-
Kansas City: +3.5%
Where values are falling
-
Austin: -3.9%, the steepest drop among the large metros
-
Las Vegas: -2.7%
-
Seattle: -2.2%
-
Dallas and San Antonio: about -1.9% each
-
Houston: -1.8%
-
Raleigh: -1.8%
-
Denver: -1.7%
-
Atlanta: -1.6%
Inventory tells a similar story
Active listings were up 20.3% in Seattle, 16.8% in Minneapolis, 16.6% in Cleveland and 15% in Boston. They were down 13.9% in Miami, 12.3% in SF and 12.4% in Jacksonville, where supply remains tight.
Where sales slipped most
Zillow's estimates of closed sales fell 11.2% in Atlanta, 9.3% in San Diego and Providence, and 8.7% in Seattle. A few markets saw gains, including Oklahoma City (+7.5%), Louisville (+7.2%) and Buffalo (+6.3%).
What it means
Affordable, supply-constrained markets in the Midwest and Northeast are holding up best, while Sun Belt and Mountain-region metros that boomed in the pandemic are still adjusting. For buyers, that means more leverage in places like Austin and Seattle, and less in Chicago and Milwaukee.