UK Mortgage Approvals Fall 15% as Housing Market Cools

UK mortgage approvals dropped 15% year-on-year in July. Here's what's behind the slowdown and what it means for house prices going forward.
UK Mortgage Approvals Fall 15% as Housing Market Cools

Britain's housing market is showing clearer signs of a slowdown. Mortgage approvals for house purchases fell 15% year-on-year in July, with roughly 56,000 approvals recorded compared to nearly 66,000 a year earlier — and approvals were also down slightly from June.

House prices nationally, meanwhile, are barely moving. Annual growth has slowed to around 2%, and prices actually dipped slightly on a seasonally adjusted month-on-month basis. The picture is uneven across the country: growth has held up better in the North West and North East of England, while prices in London have outright fallen over the past year.

 

 

What's weighing on the market:

  • Average two-year fixed mortgage deals have crept back up to around 5.67%, making affordability tighter for new buyers

  • Uncertainty ahead of the government's upcoming budget is prompting some buyers to delay major purchases

  • Industry surveyors note demand has stabilized rather than collapsed, but sentiment remains fragile

A cautiously optimistic note: Despite the approval slump, surveyors responding to the latest residential market survey reported feeling more optimistic than earlier in the year, even as they flagged a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. Much will depend on whether the autumn budget avoids reigniting the kind of speculation that has spooked buyers in previous years.

 

Bottom line: The UK housing market isn't crashing, but it is clearly cooling — fewer approvals, flat prices, and a wait-and-see mood that's likely to persist until there's more clarity on interest rates and fiscal policy.